
Cramer’s charts suggest it’s still worth investing in bonds
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U.S. Treasury bond yields have been on a tear this year, and with the Federal Reserve on track to continue raising short-term interest rates, it looks like the trend will continue. But when
bond yields rise, prices fall, which has investors worried. "The conventional wisdom on both Wall Street and Main Street is that U.S. Treasuries are one of the worst possible asset
classes to own right now," said CNBC's Jim Cramer. However, Cramer thinks that investors shouldn't be too quick to follow the crowd. The "Mad Money" host enlisted
the help of technician Carley Garner, co-founder of DeCarley Trading and author of "Higher Probability Commodity Trading," to reassess the state of the bond market. Garner believes
that "the bears in the Treasury complex have gotten overconfident," said Cramer. Taking a look at the weekly chart of the 10-year U.S. Treasury futures, Garner's analysis
shows that large speculators, who are professional money managers, are betting against Treasury prices at never-before-seen levels. "Not only are they holding net short positions in
these 10-year Treasury futures, but they're more bearish than they've ever been at any other time in living memory," Cramer said. Together, large and small speculators are
holding a net short position of 800,000 10-year Treasury futures contracts. Garner "thinks this trade has gotten overcrowded," Cramer said. She believes that prices are poised to
rise once all of these short sellers buy back Treasury bonds to close their positions. Looking at the seasonal price patterns of the 10-year Treasury bond, the charts show that prices tend
to rise in the second half of the year. This trend is particularly reliable according to Garner's analysis, with the biggest rally occurring from July through early October.
"Garner thinks the rally could be particularly pronounced this year given that Treasury prices are pretty depressed," the "Mad Money" host said. Cramer's bottom
line? The markets aren't always what they seem. "Don't just assume that our long-term interest rates are destined to head lower immediately," he said. "The charts
suggest that U.S. Treasury prices could actually have some upside here." WATCH: CRAMER REVIEWS THE BOND MARKET Questions for Cramer? Call Cramer: 1-800-743-CNBC Want to take a deep dive
into Cramer's world? Hit him up! Mad Money Twitter - Jim Cramer Twitter - Facebook - Instagram - Vine Questions, comments, suggestions for the "Mad Money" website?