Stop blaming the climate for disasters

Stop blaming the climate for disasters


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Disasters occur when hazards meet vulnerability. We must acknowledge the human-made components of both vulnerability and hazard and emphasize human agency in order to proactively reduce


disaster impacts. Natural hazards such as floods, droughts and heatwaves become disasters as a result of societal vulnerability, that is, a propensity of people, societies and ecosystems to


be harmed. Often, people’s social, political and economic status determines the nature of differential and disproportionate impacts1. In addition, many natural hazards are not just natural


processes, but have been made more likely and more intense by human-caused climate change2. This has long been recognized3,4,5, yet disasters continue to be construed as an ‘Act of God’ or


described as ‘natural’. Here we argue that a discourse in which the role of human activity in disasters is clearly communicated—as opposed to blaming Nature or the Climate—will be more


conducive to a proactive, equitable and ultimately successful approach to reducing impacts of disasters. > Pointing the finger at natural causes creates a politically > convenient 


crisis narrative that is used to justify reactive > disaster laws and policies FROM HAZARD TO DISASTER References to climate-related hazards such as floods, droughts and heatwaves as


‘climate’ or ‘natural’ disasters suggest that disasters are independent of vulnerability. They are not. And vulnerability is often constructed; examples include unplanned urbanization


processes, systemic injustice (such as some people being denied access to resources), and marginalization due to religion, caste, class, ethnicity, gender or age1,4. Vulnerability is


therefore a product of social and political processes that include elements of power and (poor) governance. These structural inequalities are created in ways that are often deliberate and


anchored in social and political structures6. For example, in urban areas, natural hazards become disasters due to poor urban planning processes that are not risk-informed. The results are


inadequate infrastructure, a lack of social support systems that could reduce impacts or help with recovery from past disasters, and processes that push the most vulnerable groups of people


to live in hazardous areas. This causes disproportionate impacts (visible and invisible loss and damage)7, especially where there are multiple hazards at the same time. These kinds of


impacts have been seen during the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic8: the COVID-19 pandemic in combination with other natural hazards in many parts of the world may have pushed already vulnerable


populations into further vulnerability, which is being referred to as compounded vulnerabilities. For example, during the pandemic, lack of access to health care systems in many settings


compounded with the lack of other social protection systems, and poor disaster risk reduction measures and governance has exacerbated the impacts of these hazards. Credit: trilemedia/Pixabay


ACCEPT RESPONSIBILITY Blaming nature or the climate for disasters deflects responsibility. It is largely human influence that produces vulnerability. Pointing the finger at natural causes


creates a politically convenient crisis narrative that is used to justify reactive disaster laws and policies9. For example, it is easier for city governments to blame nature instead of


addressing human-caused social and physical vulnerability. A deflection of responsibility also leads to a continuation of an unequitable status quo where the most vulnerable people in 


society are worst affected repeatedly in every disaster. A discourse that attributes disasters to nature paves a subtle exit path for those responsible for creating vulnerability. TOWARDS A


CHANGE OF PERSPECTIVE Assessments of climate-related hazards too often focus on indicators on spatial scales that are based on climate model grid points, such as the hottest day of the year


to indicate change in extreme heat10 or the meteorologically most extreme events11. Instead, to help with reducing disaster impacts, it would be more informative to assess hazards at the


temporal and spatial scales that are relevant from a risk and vulnerability point of view, such as looking at heatwaves that cross a particular temperature threshold in cities, on a day or a


few days, rather than estimating country scale heat extremes. Spatial scales of assessment can make a big difference: the 2018 European heatwave has been estimated to have become 30 times


more likely as a result of climate change – but the extreme heat over the 3 days when mortality was highest only became 2–5 times more likely in individual European cities12. Climate science


and attribution has an important role to play13, for example, in disentangling where human-induced climate change is a key driver of hazards14. This is important: where climate change has


exacerbated risk, it is likely that the hazard will worsen over time, and past observations become increasingly less relevant. Climate change attribution must also be used to communicate


which disasters today are partially or wholly a result of human-induced climate change. In the wake of the 6th Assessment Report from Working Group I of the Intergovernmental Panel on


Climate Change, there is opportunity to reflect and act. Disaster impacts can be reduced drastically. We must stop blaming Nature or the Climate for disasters, and put vulnerability and


equity15 at the centre of proactive and engaging disaster laws and policies9. Such a basic conceptual re-orientation is a necessary starting point to identify and leverage structural,


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AUTHOR INFORMATION AUTHORS AND AFFILIATIONS * Global Health Section, Copenhagen Centre for Disaster Research; Department of Public Health, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark


Emmanuel Raju * Unit for Environmental Sciences and Management; African Centre for Disaster Studies, North-West University, Potchesftroom, South Africa Emmanuel Raju * Lund University Centre


for Sustainable Studies, Lund University, Lund, Sweden Emily Boyd * Grantham Institute, Imperial College London, London, UK Friederike Otto Authors * Emmanuel Raju View author publications


You can also search for this author inPubMed Google Scholar * Emily Boyd View author publications You can also search for this author inPubMed Google Scholar * Friederike Otto View author


publications You can also search for this author inPubMed Google Scholar CONTRIBUTIONS E.R.—conceptualization. E.R., E.B. and F.O. contributed equally to the writing and revision of this


manuscript. CORRESPONDING AUTHOR Correspondence to Emmanuel Raju. ETHICS DECLARATIONS COMPETING INTERESTS The authors declare no competing interests. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PUBLISHER’S NOTE


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license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/. Reprints and permissions ABOUT THIS ARTICLE CITE THIS ARTICLE Raju, E., Boyd, E. & Otto, F. Stop blaming the climate for


disasters. _Commun Earth Environ_ 3, 1 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-021-00332-2 Download citation * Received: 22 October 2021 * Accepted: 13 December 2021 * Published: 10 January


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