
Boris johnson’s tax bombshell: is it a radical reform or a cynical bribe? | thearticle
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It is striking that taxation, rather than Brexit, has immediately become the main bone of contention among the Tory leadership candidates. Boris Johnson’s proposal to raise the threshold for
higher rate income tax from £50,000 to £80,000, while the threshold for reduced rate National Insurance contributions also would rise to £80,000, has been denounced by several of his
rivals. This is likely to be the pattern of the contest: Johnson sets the agenda, while the others snipe at him in the hope that he will self-destruct. Has the Boris tax bombshell blown up
in his face? It is certainly easy to portray as a giveaway to the rich. The Left-leaning Resolution Foundation claims that only one in seven people earns enough to benefit, and the main
beneficiaries would be wealthy pensioners. It is no coincidence that many of the 160,000 members of the Conservative Party, who will choose the next leader, fall into this category. Seen
from that perspective, this plan looks more like a Boris bribe than anything else. Yet Tories should hesitate before condemning the impulses behind the proposal. The Conservatives are
nothing if not the party of low taxes. Many people, and not only Tories, look back with nostalgia to the days of Nigel Lawson’s tax-cutting budgets in the 1980s. Having inherited tax rates
from Labour of up to 98 per cent on “unearned income”, the Thatcher government wasted no time in reforming the fiscal system to incentivise business and reward individual aspiration. Sir
Geoffrey Howe stabilised inflation by controlling the money supply, while seeking to balance the budget by cutting spending. Then, in 1983, Nigel Lawson became Chancellor. During his
six-year tenure, Lord Lawson (at 87 still very much with us) reduced both the basic and the higher rates of income tax: from 30 per cent to 25 per cent and from 60 per cent to 40 per cent
respectively. He also abolished four other higher rates and deregulated the City of London (“Big Bang”), while large parts of the public sector were privatised. The economic growth that was
unleashed by these and other reforms transformed a budget deficit into a surplus, demonstrating that lower tax rates can sometimes pay for themselves, not least by removing the distortions
caused by tax avoidance. It is true that “supply-side economics” can sometimes overheat the economy. Economists still argue about the causes of the “Lawson boom” of the late 1980s, but it
was not an inevitable consequence of tax cuts. What are the lessons of the 1980s for today? To be seen to be fair, Boris Johnson’s proposed cut in higher rate thresholds would have to be
balanced by cuts in thresholds for the basic rate. The impact of the reform on Scotland, where income tax is devolved but National Insurance is not, would need to be more carefully
considered. But the idea of restoring the Tories’ reputation as a party of radical economic reform — a reputation which has been forfeited since the Thatcher era — is not a bad one. If the
Johnsonian instinct to go for growth in the post-Brexit era is right, the opportunities created by leaving the EU also need to be seized. Michael Gove’s plan to replace VAT with a simpler
US-style sales tax is certainly worth considering. VAT weighs heavily on the poor and the self-employed; it is also applied in ways that discourage growth. It is no bad thing that the
Conservatives are having a public debate about how they will deliver the prosperity they all promise. The next election will present the nation with a starker choice than any since 1979:
between Jeremy Corbyn’s unreconstructed socialism and the winner of the Tory leadership contest. The next Prime Minister needs to abide by the principles of fiscal rectitude, while raising
the living standards of the least fortunate and finding bold new ways of allowing those who create wealth to enjoy the fruits of their hard work. No one has expressed these principles better
than W.E. Gladstone, the great Liberal Prime Minister and Chancellor: “Money should fructify in the pockets of the people.”