Reply to: atlantic circulation change still uncertain

Reply to: atlantic circulation change still uncertain


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Access through your institution Buy or subscribe replying to K. H. Kilbourne et al. _Nature Geoscience_ https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-022-00896-4 (2022) We thank the authors for their


comment and welcome the opportunity to respond. Kilbourne et al.1 make the argument that if more proxies from the North Atlantic had been considered, the conclusion reached in Caesar et al.2


would have been different. Although it is certainly true that a comprehensive set of palaeoceanographic proxy data available in the North Atlantic region shows a complex picture of the


evolution of the North Atlantic over the past two millennia3, most of these proxies are not strongly linked to the strength of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC). This is


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ACCESS OPTIONS: * Log in * Learn about institutional subscriptions * Read our FAQs * Contact customer support REFERENCES * Kilbourne, K. H. et al. Atlantic circulation change still


uncertain. _Nat. Geosci_. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-022-00896-4 (2022). * Caesar, L., McCarthy, G. D., Thornalley, D. J. R., Cahill, N. & Rahmstorf, S. Current Atlantic Meridional


Overturning Circulation weakest in last millennium. _Nat. Geosci._ 14, 118–120 (2021). Article  Google Scholar  * Moffa-Sánchez, P. et al. Variability in the northern North Atlantic and


Arctic Oceans across the last two millennia: a review. _Paleoceanogr. Paleoclimatol._ 34, 1399–1436 (2019). Article  Google Scholar  * Rahmstorf, S. et al. Exceptional twentieth-century


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Atlantic overturning during the past 150 years. _Nature_ 556, 227–230 (2018). Article  Google Scholar  * Caesar, L., Rahmstorf, S., Robinson, A., Feulner, G. & Saba, V. Observed


fingerprint of a weakening Atlantic Ocean overturning circulation. _Nature_ 556, 191–196 (2018). Article  Google Scholar  * Smeed, D. A. et al. Observed decline of the Atlantic Meridional


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strength during the Holocene. _Clim. Past._ 9, 2073–2084 (2013). Article  Google Scholar  * Wanamaker, A. D. et al. Surface changes in the North Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation


during the last millennium. _Nat. Commun._ 3, 899 (2012). Article  Google Scholar  * Lohmann, G. & Schöne, B. R. Climate signatures on decadal to interdecadal time scales as obtained


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North Atlantic warming hole. _Nat. Clim. Change_ 10, 667–671 (2020). Article  Google Scholar  * Worthington, E. L. et al. A 30-year reconstruction of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning


Circulation shows no decline. _Ocean Sci._ 17, 285–299 (2021). Article  Google Scholar  * Frajka-Williams, E. Estimating the Atlantic overturning at 26° N using satellite altimetry and cable


measurements. _Geophys. Res. Lett._ 42, 3458–3464 (2015). Article  Google Scholar  * Weijer, W., Cheng, W., Garuba, O. A., Hu, A. & Nadiga, B. T. CMIP6 models predict significant 21st


century decline of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation. _Geophys. Res. Lett._ 47, e2019GL086075 (2020). Article  Google Scholar  * Osman, M. B. et al. Industrial-era decline in


subarctic Atlantic productivity. _Nature_ 569, 551–555 (2019). Article  Google Scholar  Download references ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS L.C., N.C. and G.D.M. are supported by the A4 project. A4


(Grant-Aid Agreement no. PBA/CC/18/01) is carried out with the support of the Marine Institute under the Marine Research Programme funded by the Irish Government. D.J.R.T. is supported by UK


NERC grant NE/S009736/1. AUTHOR INFORMATION AUTHORS AND AFFILIATIONS * Irish Climate Analysis and Research Units (ICARUS), Department of Geography, Maynooth University, Maynooth, Ireland L.


Caesar, G. D. McCarthy & N. Cahill * Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Member of the Leibniz Association, Potsdam, Germany L. Caesar & S. Rahmstorf * Department


of Geography, University College London, London, UK D. J. R. Thornalley * Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Maynooth University, Kildare, Ireland N. Cahill * Institute of Physics and


Astronomy, University of Potsdam, Potsdam, Germany S. Rahmstorf Authors * L. Caesar View author publications You can also search for this author inPubMed Google Scholar * G. D. McCarthy


View author publications You can also search for this author inPubMed Google Scholar * D. J. R. Thornalley View author publications You can also search for this author inPubMed Google


Scholar * N. Cahill View author publications You can also search for this author inPubMed Google Scholar * S. Rahmstorf View author publications You can also search for this author inPubMed 


Google Scholar CONTRIBUTIONS L.C. created the figures and wrote the manuscript. All authors contributed to the discussion of and provided input to the manuscript. CORRESPONDING AUTHOR


Correspondence to L. Caesar. ETHICS DECLARATIONS COMPETING INTERESTS The authors declare no competing interests. PEER REVIEW PEER REVIEW INFORMATION _Nature Geoscience_ thanks the anonymous


reviewers for their contribution to the peer review of this work. Primary Handling editor: James Super, in collaboration with the _Nature Geoscience_ team. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PUBLISHER’S


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ARTICLE CITE THIS ARTICLE Caesar, L., McCarthy, G.D., Thornalley, D.J.R. _et al._ Reply to: Atlantic circulation change still uncertain. _Nat. Geosci._ 15, 168–170 (2022).


https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-022-00897-3 Download citation * Received: 31 July 2021 * Accepted: 11 January 2022 * Published: 17 February 2022 * Issue Date: March 2022 * DOI:


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